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Can Trump Sweep New York?


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There are 95 delegates to be won in the State of New York and there is no doubt that it is one of the most important remaining states in this year’s GOP candidacy race.

It has been some time since New York as a state played such an important role on the national stage when the republican party is in question. Most of the time, New York is perfectly content doing their politics locally and now, they are thrust into the national spotlight.

And it’s not like they’re fighting against it. The New York Republicans are glad to show their support for their preferred candidates and so far, this has mostly been simply showing support for Donald Trump.

New York City is Trump’s home town and on Sunday, Staten Island showed this in the most honest and exuberant way possible. Trump came to visit the conservative borough and his supporters showed up.

It is no wonder that Staten Island showed. It is a borough that has been all but forgotten by the rest of NYC and its leadership. While the rest of the city is reaping the benefits of mass tourism and being revitalized on an unprecedented scale, Staten Island has been forgotten, almost ridiculed for its blue collar background and the traditional values the majority of its residents still hold dear.

It may be a borough with relatively few voters, but it is also the borough that lost almost 300 people on 9/11. It is a borough that has its own quiet pride and which recognizes a leader who is ready to challenge the establishment and those who forget about parts of America like Staten Island.

During his speech at the New York Veteran Police Association, Trump once again reiterated his position that the system is corrupt and rigged and that the GOP Convention is going to be packed with very angry people if he is not named the Republican nominee. Of course, Trump was simply talking about the possibility of a contested convention if he does not manage to get the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the first ballot.

The good news is that New York might get him a lot closer to the 1,237 delegates he needs due to the specific system of delegate awarding in this state. We will get a bit technical here, but bear with us.

There are 95 delegates altogether to be won in the Empire State. Fourteen of those delegates are statewide and if a candidate (Trump) wins more than 50 percent of the vote in the state, he is awarded all 14 of these candidates.

There are also 27 congressional districts which are worth 3 delegates each. If a candidate wins more than 50 percent of votes in a single district, he automatically wins all three delegates.

If the candidate fails to get over 50 percent of the votes, both statewide and district delegates are shared.

According to all the latest polls, Trump should easily win more than 50 percent of the votes statewide. That should give him 14 candidates. The majority of congressional districts will also go to him and it is also very likely that he will be winning more than 50 percent in the majority of them.

In short, it is not that unlikely to see Trump winning around 80 delegates in the State of New York. That would put him over 820 in the total count of delegates and it would be a huge boost to his race to 1,237 delegates.

Meanwhile, Ted Cruz has been working hard on his shadow primary process where he literally goes around states that Trump previously won and “steals” candidates for the second ballot in the event of the contested GOP convention. No, really, in case you haven’t heard, this is happening and no one is even trying to hide anything. Instead of trying to beat Trump in an open fight, Cruz is now sneaking in the back, scheming and dealing his way to a potential sneaky victory at the contested convention.

If you ask us, this is shameful behavior and Republican voters deserve better.

This country deserves better.

New York Republicans need to be aware of this and they should give Trump as many delegates as they can.

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